Escalation Trap

Escalation Trap

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The Ceasefire Is Already Breaking — Slides from Last Night’s Live Briefing
What I showed in the briefing—and why the escalation trap is still in motion
17 hrs ago • Prof Robert Pape
What You Missed Tonight (Slides + Key Indicators)
Tonight’s live briefing was one of the most important we’ve done.
Apr 10 • Prof Robert Pape
Live with Prof Robert Pape The Escalation Trap after the Ceasefire
A recording from Prof Robert Pape's live video
Apr 10 • Prof Robert Pape
1:04:28
Link for Today's Live Briefing, 6pm CT, 7pm ET
In 50 minutes
Apr 9 • Prof Robert Pape
Live Briefing Starting Soon: The Ceasefire Is Already Breaking
The next phase is already beginning
Apr 9 • Prof Robert Pape
The Trap Trump Cannot Easily Escape
Why avoiding escalation now may still produce a historic strategic defeat—and what to watch next
Apr 9 • Prof Robert Pape
Tomorrow Live Video Briefing 6pm CT: The Ceasefire Is Already Under Strain
Yesterday looked like de-escalation.
Apr 9 • Prof Robert Pape
The Pause That Isn’t: Why the Iran Ceasefire Changes Everything
Live Briefing — Thursday, April 9 | 6:00 PM CT / 7:00 PM ET For paid subscribers only
Apr 8 • Prof Robert Pape
The New Balance of Power After the Ceasefire
How the United States lost control—and Iran gained it
Apr 8 • Prof Robert Pape
Why Trump’s Power-Grid Bombing Plan Risks Catastrophe—For Iranians and Americans
Operational details for you to see first
Apr 7 • Prof Robert Pape
Before the Debate Starts: The Six Questions That Actually Explain This War
My The New York Times piece goes live today—this is the framework behind it
Apr 6 • Prof Robert Pape
Before Monday: Get Ahead of the Shift
This goes public tomorrow—but you can see it today
Apr 5 • Prof Robert Pape
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