Escalation Trap

Escalation Trap

Parallel Strategic Attack — Stage II of the Smart Bomb Trap

How infrastructure targeting, airport disruption, and sustained uncertainty signal a shift from retaliation to systemic coercion

Prof Robert Pape's avatar
Prof Robert Pape
Mar 05, 2026
∙ Paid

Iran is crossing the threshold from discrete retaliation to systemic coercion. What we observe on Day 5 is not simply dispersed horizontal escalation. It is the consolidation of Stage II of the Smart Bomb Trap: a shift from tit-for-tat retaliation to parallel strategic attack against a regional economic web.

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