Escalation Trap

Escalation Trap

Breaking Analysis #4: The Point of No Return? How Last Night’s U.S. Strikes Deepened the Escalation Trap

July 17 BLUF

Prof Robert Pape's avatar
Prof Robert Pape
Jul 17, 2026
∙ Paid

Breaking Analysis is a new Escalation Trap series providing immediate assessments of major developments—not simply explaining what happened, but identifying the strategic logic that points to what is likely to happen next.

July 17 BLUF

Last evening, U.S. Central Command conducted multiple waves of airstrikes against Iran, targeting key bridges, railway ju…

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